21 Aug 2013 14:27:31
ED I thought it might be interesting if we posted a scientific rumour projection, based on logical facts to see what we come up with.

We all know about the 25 man squad ruling, with 8 players of home grown talent. If we make some assumptions like Bale & Adebayor leaving, it becomes much clearer.

1 GOMES
2 WALKER
3 ROSE
4 KABOUL
5 VERTONGHEN
6 PARKER - Now Vacant
7 LENNON - Inter Milan?
8 PAULINHO
9 SOLDADO
10 ADEBAYOR - Besiktas?
11 BALE - Real Madrid + Coentrao
14 HOLTBY
15 CAPOUE
16 NAUGHTON
17 TOWNSEND
18 DEFOE
19 DEMBELE
20 DAWSON
21 CHADLI
22 SIGURDSSON
24 FRIEDEL
25 LLORIS
28 CARROLL
29 LIVERMORE - Vacant as on loan
30 SANDRO
32 ASSOU-EKOTTO - Fenerbahce?
35 FRYERS
WILLIAN
COENTRAO

So assume Willian arrives which looks a done deal, and Coentrao is part of the Bale deal. Adebayor & BAE both look likely to join Besiktas and Fenerbahce respectively. Then assume that Lennon will join Inter Milan after Willian arrives, as we have the talented Townsedn as cover at RM.

The squad will then be 23 players with 8 home grown additions. This will mean either we sign 2 more players in addition to William and Coentrao, promote two players from youth like Kane and Coulthirst, or two of those rumoured to be leaving will actually stay.

If Coentrao is true I cannot see a place for Assou Ekotto, so this sort of resolves that aspect. Either Coentrao won't be part of the Bale deal, or BAE is leaving if he is.

I am reliable informed that Lennon has clearly stated he wants out if not guaranteed a first team selection at RM, and is not prepared to fight for a place. AVB on the other hand is committed to signing Willian, so the Inter Milan exit looks ominous.

That leaves Adebayor who in my mind is a certainty to leave, it is just a game of chicken with Besiktas.

Clearly we therefore have 2 spaces, and it is clear that AVB likes Coulthirst as a player for the future. So it is likely that we sign at least one further player in addition to Willian and Coentrao. I therefore expect Lamela to closely follow Willian into White Hart Lane.

Just to cover the financial doubters, I thought it might be worth doing a rough mathematical balance sheet.

Capoue £9, 680,000
Chadli £7, 172,000
Soldado £26, 400,000
Paulinho £17, 358,000
Coentrao (Part Exchange + £83m)
William £25, 800,000
Lamela £30,000,000 (Estimate)
Total expenditure = £116, 410,000

Revenues:
Parker £3, 960,000
Huddlestone £5, 104,000
Livermore £264,000 NET Loan
Caulker £8, 052,000
Dempsey £5, 984,000
Adebayor £6,000,000 (Estimate)
Assou Ekotto £6,000,000 (Estimate)
Lennon £21,000,000
Bale £83,000,000
£139, 344,000 player revenues.

Seeing as Levy said we had over £40m in transfer funds available to spend, our net spending would still minus £23,000,000 if you believe all the rumours and numbers. Even if we kept Lennon, our sending would still be net neutral for the window.

Who ever said that life without Bale would be bleak, this side can win the league, and Top 4 looks a formality.

Lloris, Coentrao, Vertonghen, Kaboul, Walker, Sandro, Paulinho, Willian, Dembele, Lamela & Soldado.

Squad: Freidel, Rose, Dawson, Naughton, Fryers, Capoue, Sigurdson, Holtby, Carroll, Chadli, Townsend, Coulthirst, Defoe.

The perfect balance between experienced top quality players, and hungry up and coming stars desparate to show their worth when given the opportunity. I have always wondered how good Defoe could be as an impact striker from the bench when legs are heavier, and with player line Holtby, Capoue, Dawson, Fryers & Rise we have steel to lock ourmt games when we have them won. Carroll, Chadli, Sigurdsson and Townsend provide amazing options, and I cannot wait to see Coulthirst burst onto the scene.

The future for Spurs is amazing, and Arsenal must be quaking in their boots this year.


1.) 21 Aug 2013
And most of our signings need to prove themselves to become established players in the world cup next year . surely an added motivator.


2.) 21 Aug 2013
Whilst your post is interesting, players under 21 don't need to be reg'd in the 25 man squad list. Also your figures seem to be pretty specific can I ask where you got these from?

Also if Coentrao does sign I think we will see Rose leave as he has already stated he wants first team football regardless of who its for.


3.) 21 Aug 2013
I think £6m for BAE and £21m for Lennon is overly optomisitc. I think we'd be looking more at £4m for BAE and £12m for Lennon.

Either way, a very good post, and if you have a look at the Arsenal board, they aren't very happy.

It has been said however, that they have been together for a year already and we still need time to gel properly. We'll see what the season brings.


4.) 21 Aug 2013
Over £20,000,000 for lennon?

You really have not got a clue!


5.) 21 Aug 2013
Saldodo is only 12 then 6 for the nxt 3 years